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According to analysts, Bitcoin price action is consistent with pre-halving recovery conditions

Bitcoin BTC

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According to one analyst, the price has surpassed $52,000 in the last 24 hours, indicating that the market is entering conditions that suggest a pre-halving rally.

“The current market movement is consistent with a pre-halving rally, a trend seen in previous Bitcoin cycles,” said Jag Kooner, head of derivatives at Bitfinex, in an email to The Block.

Kooner added that these rallies have historically started around eight weeks before the halving.

“This rally has the potential to push prices beyond previous cycle highs as Bitcoin re-emerged as a trillion-dollar asset last week, particularly through spot Bitcoin ETF inflows,” said the Bitfinex analyst.

GBTC-based selling pressure is decreasing

Kooner added that easing selling pressure associated with Grayscale's converted GBTC fund and continued daily inflows into other ETFs, averaging $300 million to $400 million, have contributed significantly to supporting Bitcoin price.

However, the analyst warned that there could still be some uncertainty.

“While historical patterns can provide insights, it is important to understand that they do not always guarantee repetition,” he said.

He emphasized that the altcoin market has become particularly interesting in the current environment.

“There has been a gradual flow of capital towards the altcoin market, which is common when Bitcoin reaches significant highs in the middle of a bull market. However, due to the large number of crypto projects in this cycle, there has been a flow of capital into specific sectors such as the Solana ecosystem and AI-based projects rather than a gradual distribution of capital across all altcoin markets,” Kooner added.

The upcoming Bitcoin halving event

The next Bitcoin halving is expected to take place in April this year, and the event will reduce by 50% the reward miners receive for validating and adding new blocks to the blockchain.

The halving occurs approximately every four years or after 210,000 blocks have been mined. The last halving occurred in 2020, when the block reward was reduced from 12.5 Bitcoin to 6.25 Bitcoin.

The next halving will occur after approximately 840,000 blocks have been mined, resulting in a further reduction in the block reward from the current 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC per block. This mechanism is programmed into the Bitcoin protocol and is intended to control the supply of new Bitcoins and make them more scarce over time.

The world's largest cryptocurrency by market cap fell over 1% in the last 24 hours to $52,056 as of 1:19 p.m. ET, according to The Block's Price Page.


Disclaimer: The Block is an independent media company providing news, research and data. As of November 2023, Foresight Ventures has been the majority investor in The Block. Foresight Ventures invests in other companies in the crypto space. Crypto exchange Bitget is an anchor LP for Foresight Ventures. The block continues to operate independently to provide objective, meaningful and timely information about the crypto industry. Here you will find our current financial reports.

© 2023 The Block. All rights reserved. This article is for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to constitute legal, tax, investment, financial or other advice.

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