Jamie Coutts, former Bloomberg Intelligence analyst, says an alt season could take longer to occur compared to previous market cycles.
Coutts says Bitcoin (BTC) continues to dominate the crypto market due to its share of total market cap, despite many altcoins seeing breakthroughs.
He says Bitcoin's dominance may last longer than in previous cycles if spot market Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are allowed as huge capital would flow into them, strengthening the crypto king's dominance.
“While altcoins are breaking out of their base pattern, it is still a Bitcoin-dominated market. Still, the offseason move seems imminent. Given the significant flows expected from BTC ETFs next year, this cycle could take longer. Typically, the off-season occurs one to one and a half years after the cycle low, which is around the second quarter of 2024.”
Source: Jamie Coutts/X
He also says that as alt season begins, some projects will emerge stronger than others as adoption of their blockchain technology continues to grow.
“While human behavior remains a constant and the rotation is driven by BTC gains, FOMO (fear of missing out) and greed, we will see the emergence of some clear long-term winners in this cycle; alt-L1s (Layer-1s), L2s (Layer-2s) and DApps (decentralized applications) with product-market fit and growing adoption. Blockchain adoption is on a structural upward trend. Fasten your seat belt.”
The crypto analyst also warns that Bitcoin could see a sudden correction based on the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric, which divides Bitcoin investors' unrealized profit or loss by BTC market capitalization.
“Bitcoin is entering the belief/denial zone. From this point onwards, setbacks of 25-30% can occur regularly. Make no mistake, the pressure to sell will impact every owner. However, on-chain, we can see from metrics like illiquid supply/long-term holders, etc. that this bull market started with a much higher core belief than ever before.
This has a lot to do with a much better informed population. There has been an explosion in the study and analysis of central bank, liquidity and macro analysis. Thanks to the contributions of many great thinkers and educators, concepts/knowledge that have been intentionally obscured are now illuminated and understood.”
Source: Jamie Coutts/X
Bitcoin is trading for $43,383 at the time of writing, up 3.1% in the last 24 hours.
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